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MTH 2680 - Introduction to Probability3 lecture hours 0 lab hours 3 credits Course Description This course introduces the probability in discrete and continuous sample spaces; counting techniques; conditional probability and independence; discrete distributions including binomial, Poisson, and geometric; continuous distributions including normal, and exponential; moment generating functions; transformation of variables; and multivariate discrete and continuous distributions. Not for students with credit for MTH 2610 and MTH 2620 . This course meets the following Raider Core CLO requirement: Think Critically. (prereq: MTH 1120 ) (quarter system prereq: MA 2314) Course Learning Outcomes Upon successful completion of this course, the student will be able to:
- Use combination and permutation to solve related problems
- Apply basic set theory concepts to probability problems
- Use basic probability rules
- Use tree diagrams and Venn diagrams to solve probability problems
- Use DeMorgan’s Laws in probability problems
- Identify and solve problems involving conditional probability
- Identify and solve problems involving total probability, Bayes’ Theorem and independence
- Define a discrete random variable and the probability mass function and use them in examples
- Define the cumulative distribution function for discrete random variables and use it to solve related problems
- Define expected value for discrete random variables and use it in related problems
- Solve problems involving conditional expectations of discrete random variables
- Identify and apply the discrete uniform distribution
- Identify and apply the binomial distribution
- Identify and apply the geometric distribution
- Identify and apply the Poisson distribution
- Identify and apply the negative binomial distribution
- Define a continuous random variable and the probability density function and use them in examples
- Define the cumulative distribution function for continuous random variables and use it to solve related problems
- Define expected value for continuous random variables and use it in related problems
- Use measures of central tendency, including mean, median, midrange, mode, quartiles and percentiles of data sets, and for continuous random variables
- Use measures of dispersion, including variance and standard deviation, both for discrete and continuous random variables
- Define and apply Moment Generating Function of different discrete distributions
- Identify and apply the continuous uniform distribution
- Identify and apply the normal distribution
- Identify and apply the exponential distribution
- Identify and apply joint (multivariate) distributions of discrete and continuous random variables
- Define and use conditional distributions for both discrete and continuous multivariate
- Define and use independence, covariance and correlation for both discrete and continuous multivariate
Prerequisites by Topic
- Derivatives of functions, product rule, quotient rule, and chain rule
- Integrals of functions, substitution, integration by parts
Course Topics
- Combinatorial probability: tree diagrams, the multiplication principle, permutation and combination
- General probability: set theory review, basic rules of probability, DeMorgan’s laws, conditional probability, Bayes’ theorem, independence
- Discrete random variables and their distributions: probability mass function, cumulative distribution function, expected value (mean)
- Measures of central tendency: median of a data set, midrange of a data set, mode of a data set, quartiles, and percentiles of a data set
- Measures of dispersion: variance and standard deviation
- Conditional probabilities: conditional expectation
- Different types of discrete distributions: discrete uniform, binomial, geometric, negative binomial, Poisson
- Continuous random variables and their distributions: probability density function, cumulative distribution function, expected value, variance, mode, median, percentiles, moment generating function, conditional probabilities, conditional expectation
- Different types of continuous random variables: continuous uniform, exponential, normal
- Multivariate probability: joint distribution of multivariate discrete, conditional probabilities, independence, covariance, correlation
- Joint distribution of multivariate continuous: conditional probabilities, independence, covariance, correlation
Coordinator Dr. Yvonne Yaz
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